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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of Leverage Points with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Leverage Points
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy.A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighHighLow
Timedifferent
45-90 minHalf day2-4 h1-2 h
Participantsdifferent
2-83-123-82-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanLeverage Map, Action StrategyFuture Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
Systems thinkingChangeStrategy
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
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