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| Criterion |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Innovation Lean Startup |  Product Discovery Test Card |  Product Discovery Riskiest Assumption Test |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | For uncertain business assumptions, the method forces the idea into contact with real market reactions early. It separates wishful picture, assumption, and observable behavior, so that learning becomes faster than planning. This translates uncertainty into measurable insight. | The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success. | When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | Wochen bis Monate je Lernzyklus | 20-35 min | 1-2 Wochen pro Iteration |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-6 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Hypothesis list, MVPs, Learning reports, Pivot or persevere decision | Test Card with a pre-set threshold | Prioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | LeanStartupValidationMVP | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions |