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| Criterion |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Product Strategy Lean Canvas |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Business Strategy Business Model Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | When an early product bet still has too many open points, it brings target group, problem, and assumptions into a single view. It condenses the idea so core risks become nameable. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | The Business Model Canvas condenses a business model to its key building blocks and assumptions. It makes variants quickly comparable and reveals gaps before validation or implementation begins. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | 45-90 min | 1-4 Wochen | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 1-6 | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Lean Canvas, Core Assumptions, Experiment Backlog | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Business Model Canvas, Assumption List, Business Hypotheses |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | StartupLeanAssumptionsBusiness model | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | Business modelStrategyValueInnovation |