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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Kepner-Tregoe
Operations
Kepner-Tregoe
Paper illustration of a calibrated five-by-five risk matrix with response cards.
Decision Making
Risk Matrix
A3 Problem-Solving workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
A3 Problem Solving
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.For a disturbance that's hard to pin down, the method cleanly separates problem, cause, and decision. It reduces mixing when symptoms allow several interpretations.When a project faces many possible disruptions, it quickly becomes unclear which risks deserve attention first. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Risk Matrix and a Top Risk List.For a complex deviation with several people involved, the method bundles problem, analysis, and decision onto one page. It creates a shared working space where causes, countermeasures, and follow-up fit together.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighLowMedium
Timedifferent
45-90 min2-8 h30-60 min45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
2-82-83-102-5
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanProblem Analysis, Decision Analysis, Risk PlanRisk Matrix, Top Risk ListA3 Report, Action Plan, Root Cause Analysis
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
Problem solvingRoot causeDecisionOperations
RiskDecisionPrioritizationAssessment
LeanProblem solvingCoachingOperations
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