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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Incident Command workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Incident Command
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Blameless Postmortem workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Blameless Postmortem
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.During an acute incident with several people involved, the method creates a clear leadership and communication structure. It reduces chaos when fast coordination and clean situational awareness are both needed at once.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.After an incident with damage or a near miss, the method creates a sober field for learning without assigning blame. It directs attention to the course of events, conditions, and effective countermeasures.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
45-90 minAs needed20–45 min30-90 min
Participantsdifferent
2-84-15Small cross-functional group3-12
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanIncident Log, Action Tracker, Stakeholder UpdatesRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logPostmortem Doc, Action Items, Timeline
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
IncidentOperationsReliability
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
Site Reliability EngineeringIncidentLearningReliability
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