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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of an IBIS map with issues, positions and arguments
Knowledge Modeling
IBIS
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Paper illustration for Argument Mapping
Decision Making
Argument Mapping
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.IBIS structures thinking about complex questions as a sequence of issues, ideas, and arguments. The method keeps discussions open without forcing them into premature consensus.A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
45-90 min1-3 h2-4 h1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
2-82-83-81-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanIssue Map, Positions, Argument NotesFuture Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsArgument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
RationaleKnowledgeDecision
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
SensemakingDecisionRationale
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