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| Criterion |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Engineering Hypothesis-Driven Troubleshooting |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Facilitation Decision Jam |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | When systems fail unexpectedly, spontaneous attempts often produce more noise than insight. Hypothesis-driven Troubleshooting translates symptoms into testable assumptions and makes troubleshooting learnable. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When a decision is stuck, Decision Jam loosens the knot through structured separation of problem, idea, and selection. The format creates movement without jumping prematurely at the first seemingly elegant answer. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | 30-240 min | 1-4 Wochen | 60-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 1-6 | 6-30 Experten | 4-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Hypothesis Log, Test Plan, Evidence Notes, Diagnosis Summary | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Problem Cluster, Prioritized Challenge, Experiment |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | TroubleshootingProblem solvingDiagnosis | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | FacilitationDecisionProblem solvingWorkshop |