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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper notes move from an inbox to action, project and calendar collections.
Operations
Getting Things Done
Design sheets and interface cards connect to jointly written pseudocode with highlighted unresolved questions.
Architecture
ARID (Active Reviews for Intermediate Designs)
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.With many open commitments and ideas in daily life, a reliable external storage system emerges. The method relieves the mind so priority and context don't have to compete in memory.ARID examines how well developers can work with a technical design. It focuses on a part of the system that can still be revised, between the architecture overview and the detailed specification.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
45-90 min1-2 h Setup, laufend2–4 h review as a planning range; preparation and evaluation additional20–45 min
Participantsdifferent
2-81Designers, developers as users, and facilitationSmall cross-functional group
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanAction Lists, Project List, Review RoutinePrioritized development tasks, Jointly produced code or pseudocode, Observed difficulties and open design questions, Proposed design revisionsRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
ProductivityPlanningTasksExecution
ArchitectureEngineeringFeedbackValidationTasks
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
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