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| Criterion |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |  Growth Flywheel |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | Growth often breaks down where a reinforcing mechanism builds up too much friction. A Flywheel shows the cycle of value, repetition, and reinforcement meant to sustain growth. | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | 2-4 h | 60-120 min | 60-120 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | Flywheel Map, Friction Points, Growth Levers, Experiment Backlog | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | GrowthRetentionConversion | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking |