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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Paper illustration of a Concept Map with concepts and labelled links
Knowledge Modeling
Concept Mapping
Red Teaming method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Red Teaming
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.Concept Mapping arranges terms and relationships in a network that makes subject-matter connections tangible. It fits when a topic needs to be understood structurally rather than linearly.For strategic decisions with high reach, agreement and gut feeling are often not enough. Red teaming brings deliberate opposition into the situation and tests where a plan breaks under real counterarguments.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighMediumHigh
Timedifferent
45-90 min2-4 h1-2 h1-4 h
Participantsdifferent
2-83-81-83-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanFuture Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsConcept Map, Relationship Labels, Knowledge GapsChallenge Findings, Risk Register, Mitigation Plan
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
KnowledgeConceptsMappingSensemaking
RiskDecisionSensemaking
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