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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Fault Tree Analysis.
Operations
Fault Tree Analysis
Paper illustration for Constraint Analysis.
Decision Making
Constraint Analysis
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.For a critical top event with several possible triggers, the method logically models failure paths. It makes visible which combinations of conditions can lead to damage.When an initiative stalls, the limit often lies not in the idea but in hard or soft boundary conditions. Constraint Analysis separates these limits and shows which of them can actually be shaped.A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighLowHigh
Timedifferent
45-90 min2-6 h30-90 min2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
2-83-82-83-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanFault Tree, Critical Paths, Cause Hypotheses, Control ActionsConstraint List, Hard/Soft Classification, Option Impact Notes, Decision BoundariesCurrent Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention Ideas
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
RiskRoot causeSafety
ConstraintsDecisionPlanningOptions
Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality
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