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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumLowHigh
Timedifferent
45-90 min1-5 Tage1-5 Tage1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
2-8NutzertrafficNutzertraffic1-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncAsyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanClick Data, Interest Signal, Learning DecisionInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning NoteExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summary
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
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