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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Paper illustration of Hypothesis Prioritization Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Hypothesis Prioritization Canvas
Paper illustration of a Test Card with four fields for hypothesis, test, metric, and success threshold.
Product Discovery
Test Card
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small.When many hypotheses compete for attention, it brings order to their learning sequence and importance. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritization canvas and a hypothesis backlog.The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
45-90 min1-5 Tage60-90 min20-35 min
Participantsdifferent
2-8Nutzertraffic3-81-5
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanClick Data, Interest Signal, Learning DecisionPrioritization Canvas, Hypothesis BacklogTest Card with a pre-set threshold
Tags1 shared
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery
ExperimentsPrioritizationDiscoveryHypothesis
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
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