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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Paper illustration for Root Cause Analysis.
Operations
Root Cause Analysis
A 5 Whys working surface connects an observable problem with evidenced causes, marked uncertainty and concrete countermeasures with ownership.
Operations
5 Whys
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.When a problem keeps recurring and the cause stays unclear, the method exposes the underlying mechanism. It separates symptom, guess, and robust explanation from one another.For a single, hard-to-explain deviation, the method exposes the causal chain behind the visible symptom. It keeps the cause open until a controllable condition emerges instead of a mere description.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
45-90 min60-120 min1-4 h15-30 min
Participantsdifferent
2-82-83-82-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanConflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsProblem Statement, Cause Hypotheses, Confirmed Causes, Action PlanRoot cause notes, Countermeasures
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
Root causeProblem solvingQualityIncident
Root causeIncidentLeanProblem solving
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