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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Paper illustration for Kepner-Tregoe
Operations
Kepner-Tregoe
Paper illustration for Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Operations
Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.For a disturbance that's hard to pin down, the method cleanly separates problem, cause, and decision. It reduces mixing when symptoms allow several interpretations.For a process, product, or service with noticeable failure risks, the method assesses possible failure modes in advance. It directs attention to combinations of occurrence, effect, and detectability.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumHighHigh
Timedifferent
45-90 min60-120 min2-8 h2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
2-82-82-83-10
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanConflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsProblem Analysis, Decision Analysis, Risk PlanFMEA Table, Risk Priority, Mitigation Actions
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
Problem solvingRoot causeDecisionOperations
RiskQualityOperationsRoot cause
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