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| Criterion |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Product Discovery Dual-Track Agile |  Product Discovery Test Card |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | When uncertainty and delivery run in parallel, it separates learning work from implementation while keeping both connected. It prevents unvalidated ideas from falling directly into the delivery stream. | The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | Laufend, Wochen bis Monate | 20-35 min | 45-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 2-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Discovery Backlog, Delivery Backlog, Experiment-Ergebnisse, Validierte Stories | Test Card with a pre-set threshold | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | AgileDiscoveryDelivery | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation |