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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of Dual Track Agile with its method-specific working model.
Product Discovery
Dual-Track Agile
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration of Cost of Delay with its method-specific working model.
Delivery
Cost of Delay
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When uncertainty and delivery run in parallel, it separates learning work from implementation while keeping both connected. It prevents unvalidated ideas from falling directly into the delivery stream.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumLowHigh
Timedifferent
45-90 minLaufend, Wochen bis Monate20–45 min90-180 min
Participantsdifferent
2-84-10Small cross-functional group3-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanDiscovery Backlog, Delivery Backlog, Experiment-Ergebnisse, Validierte StoriesRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logCoD Table, Prioritization Sequence
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
AgileDiscoveryDelivery
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision
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