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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Paper illustration of Lean UX Canvas with its method-specific working model.
UX Design
Lean UX Canvas
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.The Lean UX Canvas helps clarify user behavior, touchpoints, and concept decisions. It makes assumptions and desired outcomes visible and captures the result as a completed canvas, hypothesis list, and first experiment.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowMediumHigh
Timedifferent
45-90 min1-2 h2-3 h1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
2-82-83-86-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning reportCompleted Lean UX Canvas, Hypothesis list, First experimentExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
CanvasHypothesisOutcomesDiscovery
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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