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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Design Thinking as a learning loop: an observation notebook, a focused problem statement, different idea sketches, a cardboard prototype and user-test notes. Feedback leads to new understanding.
Innovation
Design Thinking
Paper illustration for Constraint Analysis.
Decision Making
Constraint Analysis
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.For complex user problems with an uncertain cause, the method connects observation, interpretation, and experiment into a learning cycle. It keeps the focus on real needs and avoids premature solution language. This produces robust decisions for product and service.When an initiative stalls, the limit often lies not in the idea but in hard or soft boundary conditions. Constraint Analysis separates these limits and shows which of them can actually be shaped.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighLowLow
Timedifferent
45-90 min1 Tag bis mehrere Wochen30-90 min20–45 min
Participantsdifferent
2-84-102-8Small cross-functional group
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanProblem Statement, Prototype, Test LearningsConstraint List, Hard/Soft Classification, Option Impact Notes, Decision BoundariesRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
InnovationPrototypeResearch
ConstraintsDecisionPlanningOptions
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
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