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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of Design Charrette with its method-specific working model.
Innovation
Design Charrette
Paper illustration of Starbursting with its method-specific working model.
Innovation
Starbursting
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.In a tightly timed design process with many participants, the method pools several lines of thinking in a short time. It brings parallel design energy without letting the discussion tip into endless coordination. This quickly produces solid directions for architecture or space.Helps clarify ideas, open questions, and testable next steps in concrete terms. It opens the thinking space, collects ideas, and leads to testable options. The result is captured as a star-shaped question map, question list, and assumption list.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighMediumLow
Timedifferent
45-90 min1-4 WochenHalber Tag bis mehrere Tage30-60 min
Participantsdifferent
2-86-30 Experten10-503-10
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesSketches and Concepts, Consolidated Solution Sketch, Prioritized DirectionStar-Shaped Question Map, Question List, Assumption List
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
BrainstormingWorkshopCollaborationIdeation
BrainstormingIdeationWorkshopDiscovery
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