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| Criterion |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Decision Making Decision Tree |  Innovation Design Sprint |  Product Discovery Riskiest Assumption Test |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch. | When the product question is unclear and time pressure is high, the method takes a team from an open idea to a testable solution. It connects problem understanding, decision, and learning in one compact format, lowering the risk of spending a lot of energy on a mere guess. | When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | 30-90 min | 4-5 Tage | 1-2 Wochen pro Iteration |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 1-6 | 5-8 | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Decision Tree, Option Map, Assumption List | Prototype, Test Findings, Decision Rationale | Prioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | DecisionTreeOptions | Design sprintPrototypeValidationInnovation | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions |