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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Cynefin Workshop.
Decision Making
Cynefin Workshop
Red Teaming method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Red Teaming
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic.For strategic decisions with high reach, agreement and gut feeling are often not enough. Red teaming brings deliberate opposition into the situation and tests where a plan breaks under real counterarguments.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumHighLow
Timedifferent
45-90 min60-180 min1-4 h20–45 min
Participantsdifferent
2-84-203-8Small cross-functional group
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanCynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking NotesChallenge Findings, Risk Register, Mitigation PlanRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log
Tags1 shared
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
ComplexitySensemakingDecision
RiskDecisionSensemaking
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
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