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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of Cost of Delay with its method-specific working model.
Delivery
Cost of Delay
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighHighLow
Timedifferent
45-90 min90-180 min1-4 Wochen1-2 h
Participantsdifferent
2-83-86-30 Experten2-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanCoD Table, Prioritization SequenceExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report
Tags1 shared
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
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