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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Change Analysis.
Operations
Change Analysis
Paper illustration of MORT Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
MORT Analysis
Paper illustration of Family Tree Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Family Tree Analysis
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.For a deviation after a change, the method isolates the influence of the altered condition. It narrows down which differences are relevant and which are just accompanying noise.For a safety-relevant event or a system with high protection requirements, the method examines where controls failed. It exposes both technical and organizational gaps.For a series of incidents with a similar pattern, the method arranges individual events as branches of a common origin. It makes visible which conditions keep recurring.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
45-90 min45-120 minMehrere Tage bis Wochen2-4 h
Participantsdifferent
2-82-62-62-6
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanChange Matrix, Cause Hypotheses, Validation Questions, Action ListMORT Worksheets, Findings per Branch, Corrective Actions, Systemic RecommendationsFamily Tree Diagram, Pattern Notes, Systemic Measures
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
ChangeRoot causeTroubleshootingComparison
Root causeSafetySystemicIncident
Root causePatternsIncidentSystemic
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