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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Change Analysis.
Operations
Change Analysis
Paper illustration of Barrier Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Barrier Analysis
A 5 Whys working surface connects an observable problem with evidenced causes, marked uncertainty and concrete countermeasures with ownership.
Operations
5 Whys
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.For a deviation after a change, the method isolates the influence of the altered condition. It narrows down which differences are relevant and which are just accompanying noise.For a risk that can only be managed through multiple layers of protection, the method examines the effectiveness of each barrier. It shows where safeguards are missing, too weak, or fail under real conditions.For a single, hard-to-explain deviation, the method exposes the causal chain behind the visible symptom. It keeps the cause open until a controllable condition emerges instead of a mere description.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
45-90 min45-120 min2-4 h15-30 min
Participantsdifferent
2-82-62-62-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanChange Matrix, Cause Hypotheses, Validation Questions, Action ListBarrier Inventory, Failure Analysis per Barrier, Action BacklogRoot cause notes, Countermeasures
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
ChangeRoot causeTroubleshootingComparison
Root causeSafetyIncident
Root causeIncidentLeanProblem solving
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