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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of Business Model Stress Test with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Business Model Stress Test
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of Value Chain Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Value Chain Analysis
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.Value Chain Analysis shows where value is created, costs accrue, and differentiation becomes possible along the process. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a value-chain map and lever list.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighHighHigh
Timedifferent
45-90 minHalf day1-4 WochenHalf day
Participantsdifferent
2-83-86-30 Experten3-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopAsyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanStress Test Report, Action Plan per ScenarioExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesValue Chain Map, Lever List
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
StrategyBusiness modelDiagnosisAnalysis
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