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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Bucket System.
Agile
Bucket System
Paper illustration of Value Chain Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Value Chain Analysis
Paper illustration for Affinity Estimation.
Agile
Affinity Estimation
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When a large batch of work needs a fast, rough estimate, it sorts items into predefined size buckets. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, and Split Candidates.Value Chain Analysis shows where value is created, costs accrue, and differentiation becomes possible along the process. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a value-chain map and lever list.When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
45-90 min30-90 minHalf day30-90 min
Participantsdifferent
2-83-123-83-12
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanBucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, Split CandidatesValue Chain Map, Lever ListAffinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear Items
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
StrategyBusiness modelDiagnosisAnalysis
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
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