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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of Barrier Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Barrier Analysis
Paper illustration for Causal Factor Analysis.
Operations
Causal Factor Analysis
Paper illustration of MORT Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
MORT Analysis
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.For a risk that can only be managed through multiple layers of protection, the method examines the effectiveness of each barrier. It shows where safeguards are missing, too weak, or fail under real conditions.For an event with a complicated course, the method breaks down the contributing factors along the timeline. It shows how conditions, decisions, and reactions together produce a course of events.For a safety-relevant event or a system with high protection requirements, the method examines where controls failed. It exposes both technical and organizational gaps.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumHighHigh
Timedifferent
45-90 min2-4 h2-6 hMehrere Tage bis Wochen
Participantsdifferent
2-82-63-102-6
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanBarrier Inventory, Failure Analysis per Barrier, Action BacklogEvent Timeline, Causal Factor Chart, Cause List, Corrective ActionsMORT Worksheets, Findings per Branch, Corrective Actions, Systemic Recommendations
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
Root causeSafetyIncident
CausalityIncidentRoot causeTimeline
Root causeSafetySystemicIncident
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