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| Criterion |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |  Product Discovery Experiment Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | 45-60 min | 60-120 min | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | Completed Experiment Canvas, Success Metric |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis |