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| Criterion |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Decision Making Argument Mapping |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |  Decision Making Red Teaming |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on. | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | For strategic decisions with high reach, agreement and gut feeling are often not enough. Red teaming brings deliberate opposition into the situation and tests where a plan breaks under real counterarguments. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | 1-3 h | 60-120 min | 1-4 h |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 1-8 | 2-8 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Argument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | Challenge Findings, Risk Register, Mitigation Plan |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | SensemakingDecisionRationale | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | RiskDecisionSensemaking |