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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for ALPEN Method
Operations
ALPEN Method
Paper illustration for Time Blocking
Operations
Time Blocking
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time.With a calendar that grows on request, the method makes available time explicit again. It combines appointments, focus work, and buffer into a more realistic day structure.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.
Complexitysame
LowLowLowLow
Timedifferent
45-90 min10-20 min daily15-30 min Planung, laufend20–45 min
Participantsdifferent
2-811Small cross-functional group
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncAsyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanDaily Plan, Time Estimates, Review NotesBlocked Calendar, Capacity View, Focus PlanRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations
PlanningTime managementFocus
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
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