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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for ALPEN Method
Operations
ALPEN Method
A 5 Whys working surface connects an observable problem with evidenced causes, marked uncertainty and concrete countermeasures with ownership.
Operations
5 Whys
Paper illustration for Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Operations
Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time.For a single, hard-to-explain deviation, the method exposes the causal chain behind the visible symptom. It keeps the cause open until a controllable condition emerges instead of a mere description.For a process, product, or service with noticeable failure risks, the method assesses possible failure modes in advance. It directs attention to combinations of occurrence, effect, and detectability.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowLowHigh
Timedifferent
45-90 min10-20 min daily15-30 min2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
2-812-63-10
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanDaily Plan, Time Estimates, Review NotesRoot cause notes, CountermeasuresFMEA Table, Risk Priority, Mitigation Actions
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations
Root causeIncidentLeanProblem solving
RiskQualityOperationsRoot cause
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