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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Affinity Estimation.
Agile
Affinity Estimation
Paper illustration of Business Model Stress Test with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Business Model Stress Test
Paper illustration for Bucket System.
Agile
Bucket System
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes.A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario.When a large batch of work needs a fast, rough estimate, it sorts items into predefined size buckets. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, and Split Candidates.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
45-90 min30-90 minHalf day30-90 min
Participantsdifferent
2-83-123-83-12
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanAffinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear ItemsStress Test Report, Action Plan per ScenarioBucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, Split Candidates
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
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