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| Criterion |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Operations ABC Analysis |  Operations ALPEN Method |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | With many similar objects of differing economic significance, the method prioritizes effort by effect. It separates what needs regular steering from what rarely needs attention. | With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time. | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. |
Complexitysame | Low | Low | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | 30-60 min | 10-20 min daily | 20–45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1 | Small cross-functional group |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | ABC Classification, Focus Rules, Control List | Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | PrioritizationOperationsPortfolio | PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning |