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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for ABC Analysis
Operations
ABC Analysis
A 5 Whys working surface connects an observable problem with evidenced causes, marked uncertainty and concrete countermeasures with ownership.
Operations
5 Whys
Paper illustration of a calibrated five-by-five risk matrix with response cards.
Decision Making
Risk Matrix
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.With many similar objects of differing economic significance, the method prioritizes effort by effect. It separates what needs regular steering from what rarely needs attention.For a single, hard-to-explain deviation, the method exposes the causal chain behind the visible symptom. It keeps the cause open until a controllable condition emerges instead of a mere description.When a project faces many possible disruptions, it quickly becomes unclear which risks deserve attention first. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Risk Matrix and a Top Risk List.
Complexitysame
LowLowLowLow
Timedifferent
45-90 min30-60 min15-30 min30-60 min
Participantsdifferent
2-81-52-63-10
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanABC Classification, Focus Rules, Control ListRoot cause notes, CountermeasuresRisk Matrix, Top Risk List
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
PrioritizationOperationsPortfolio
Root causeIncidentLeanProblem solving
RiskDecisionPrioritizationAssessment
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