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| Criterion |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Growth A/B Testing |  Product Discovery Smoke Test |  Product Discovery Riskiest Assumption Test |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects. | When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all. | When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | 1-4 Wochen | 1-5 Tage | 1-2 Wochen pro Iteration |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 1-6 | Nutzertraffic | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Experiment results, Decision log, Learning summary | Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note | Prioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation | ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions |