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| Criterion |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Product Discovery Smoke Test |  Product Strategy ICE Scoring |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all. | When ideas need sorting quickly, it condenses impact, confidence, and effort into one compact score. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as an ICE table and top-ideas list. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 45-60 min | 1-5 Tage | 30-60 min | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | Nutzertraffic | 2-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note | ICE Table, Top Idea List | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth | PrioritizationScoringGrowthDecision | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery |