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| Criterion |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Product Discovery Smoke Test |  UX Research First-click Testing |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all. | When users immediately turn the wrong way on a screen or wireframe, first click testing checks initial orientation at high speed. The first click shows early whether expectation, labeling, and wayfinding fit together. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 45-60 min | 1-5 Tage | 1-2 Tage | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | Nutzertraffic | 10-30 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note | Click Heatmap, Success Rate, Design Recommendations | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth | UXNavigationFindabilityValidation | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery |