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| Criterion |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Product Discovery Smoke Test |  Operations ALPEN Method |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all. | With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 45-60 min | 1-5 Tage | 10-20 min daily | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | Nutzertraffic | 1 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note | Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth | PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery |