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| Criterion |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Product Discovery Riskiest Assumption Test |  Agile Affinity Estimation |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report. | When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 45-60 min | 1-2 Wochen pro Iteration | 30-90 min | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 2-6 | 3-12 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | Prioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report | Affinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear Items | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions | EstimationBacklogRelative sizing | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery |