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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of RAID Log with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Delivery
RAID Log
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as a RAID Log and a source for status reporting.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowLowMedium
Timedifferent
45-60 min30 min Setup, dann laufend1-5 Tage1-2 Wochen pro Iteration
Participantsdifferent
2-81-3 maintaining, briefing for everyoneNutzertraffic2-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingRAID Log, Status Report SourceInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning NotePrioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
RiskTrackingStakeholdersGovernance
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions
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