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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of RAID Log with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Delivery
RAID Log
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as a RAID Log and a source for status reporting.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowLowMedium
Timedifferent
45-60 min30 min Setup, dann laufend1-5 Tage1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
2-81-3 maintaining, briefing for everyoneNutzertrafficNutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncAsyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingRAID Log, Status Report SourceInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning NoteClick Data, Interest Signal, Learning Decision
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
RiskTrackingStakeholdersGovernance
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery
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