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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Stakeholder Mapping
Facilitation
Stakeholder Mapping
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.When an initiative depends on many people, interests, and power dynamics, Stakeholder Mapping systematically orders the environment. It shows who influences, who is affected, and where relationship management or safeguarding matters first.When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowLowMedium
Timedifferent
45-60 min20–45 min60–90 min1-2 Wochen pro Iteration
Participantsdifferent
2-8Small cross-functional group2-82-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logStakeholder Map, Engagement Plan, Risk NotesPrioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
StakeholdersAlignmentFacilitationChange
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions
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