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| Criterion |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Domain Modeling Context Map |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | When several contexts need to talk to each other, it makes their relationships and dependencies legible. It helps sort integration pressure and responsibilities across system boundaries. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 45-60 min | 15-45 min | 1-3 h | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 1-8 | 2-8 | 2-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Context Map, Integration Patterns, Boundary Notes | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | Domain-Driven DesignBoundariesStrategy | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery |