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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Context Map workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Domain Modeling
Context Map
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.When several contexts need to talk to each other, it makes their relationships and dependencies legible. It helps sort integration pressure and responsibilities across system boundaries.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
45-60 min15-45 min1-3 h1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
2-81-82-81-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesContext Map, Integration Patterns, Boundary NotesExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summary
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
Domain-Driven DesignBoundariesStrategy
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
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