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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of MORT Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
MORT Analysis
Paper illustration of a Test Card with four fields for hypothesis, test, metric, and success threshold.
Product Discovery
Test Card
Paper illustration of Barrier Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Barrier Analysis
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.For a safety-relevant event or a system with high protection requirements, the method examines where controls failed. It exposes both technical and organizational gaps.The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success.For a risk that can only be managed through multiple layers of protection, the method examines the effectiveness of each barrier. It shows where safeguards are missing, too weak, or fail under real conditions.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighLowMedium
Timedifferent
45-60 minMehrere Tage bis Wochen20-35 min2-4 h
Participantsdifferent
2-82-61-52-6
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingMORT Worksheets, Findings per Branch, Corrective Actions, Systemic RecommendationsTest Card with a pre-set thresholdBarrier Inventory, Failure Analysis per Barrier, Action Backlog
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
Root causeSafetySystemicIncident
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
Root causeSafetyIncident
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