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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of Lean Startup with its method-specific working model.
Innovation
Lean Startup
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.For uncertain business assumptions, the method forces the idea into contact with real market reactions early. It separates wishful picture, assumption, and observable behavior, so that learning becomes faster than planning. This translates uncertainty into measurable insight.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
45-60 minWochen bis Monate je Lernzyklus45-90 min1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
2-82-82-8Nutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingHypothesis list, MVPs, Learning reports, Pivot or persevere decisionAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanClick Data, Interest Signal, Learning Decision
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
LeanStartupValidationMVP
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery
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