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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of a Lean Canvas with nine fields, notes, and one highlighted learning risk.
Product Strategy
Lean Canvas
Paper illustration for Fault Tree Analysis.
Operations
Fault Tree Analysis
A 5 Whys working surface connects an observable problem with evidenced causes, marked uncertainty and concrete countermeasures with ownership.
Operations
5 Whys
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When an early product bet still has too many open points, it brings target group, problem, and assumptions into a single view. It condenses the idea so core risks become nameable.For a critical top event with several possible triggers, the method logically models failure paths. It makes visible which combinations of conditions can lead to damage.For a single, hard-to-explain deviation, the method exposes the causal chain behind the visible symptom. It keeps the cause open until a controllable condition emerges instead of a mere description.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHighLow
Timedifferent
45-60 min45-90 min2-6 h15-30 min
Participantsdifferent
2-81-63-82-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingLean Canvas, Core Assumptions, Experiment BacklogFault Tree, Critical Paths, Cause Hypotheses, Control ActionsRoot cause notes, Countermeasures
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
StartupLeanAssumptionsBusiness model
RiskRoot causeSafety
Root causeIncidentLeanProblem solving
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