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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Intervention Mapping.
Systems Thinking
Intervention Mapping
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.Intervention Mapping translates a need for change into a planned, evaluable program. The method connects target group, determinants, actions, and measurement into a traceable chain.A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighHighMedium
Timedifferent
45-60 min1-5 Tage2-4 h1-2 Wochen pro Iteration
Participantsdifferent
2-84-123-82-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingLogic Model, Change Objectives, Intervention Components, Evaluation PlanFuture Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsPrioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ChangeSystems thinkingCapability
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions
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