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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
Paper illustration for Affinity Estimation.
Agile
Affinity Estimation
Paper illustration for Bucket System.
Agile
Bucket System
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes.When a large batch of work needs a fast, rough estimate, it sorts items into predefined size buckets. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, and Split Candidates.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMediumMedium
Timedifferent
45-60 min15-60 min30-90 min30-90 min
Participantsdifferent
2-82-93-123-12
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingIdeal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity CaveatsAffinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear ItemsBucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, Split Candidates
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
EstimationEffortAgile
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
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